If you are trans and don't know what I am talking about... then you deserve to have two electrodes connected to your brain, because that is what they wan to do to you! Do I have your attention?
How about if I said this "Electroconvulsive Therapy (ECT)" do now I have your attention? The case doesn't involve ECT but it is the elephant in the room.
This is all speculation we will not know for sure until they rule (Most likely the end of June) however, we can gain some insight from the questioning and the banter.
SCOTUS Blog:
The Supreme Court on Tuesday morning appeared largely sympathetic to a Colorado licensed counselor who is challenging the state’s ban on conversion therapy – that is, treatment intended to change a client’s sexual orientation or gender identity – for young people. In Chiles v. Salazar, a majority of the justices seemed to agree with the counselor, Kaley Chiles, that the ban discriminates against her based on the views that she expresses in her therapy. But several justices suggested that, rather than striking the law down outright, the court should send the case back to the lower courts for them to take a closer look at whether the law passes constitutional muster.[...]Chiles, who is a practicing Christian, contends that although she does not try to “convert” her clients, she does try to help them with objectives that may include “seeking to reduce or eliminate unwanted sexual attractions” or becoming more comfortable with their bodies. Chiles filed a lawsuit in Colorado, asking a federal court to block the state from enforcing the conversion therapy ban against her.
Okay, I sat through the floor debate for the Conversion Therapy law here in Connecticut and the discussion that day brought up that very fact... therapy and conversion therapy are two different things. It is the difference between being a guide and being a pathfinder. One helps them to learn their path and the other shows them the path to follow.
NBC News reported that,
Drawing a distinction between speech that encourages minors to embrace their gender identities or sexual orientations while prohibiting them from questioning it "looks like blatant viewpoint discrimination," conservative Justice Samuel Alito said.
Yes, but... during the hearing there was never any distinction between guiding a child to find their own and with forcing a child to a path that is not their path.
USA Today wrote,
And some of the justices seemed persuaded by her argument that, under Colorado's restrictions, she can help young people embrace a transgender identity but not help them grow comfortable with the body they were born with.“Looks like blatant viewpoint discrimination,” said Justice Samuel Alito.[...]One question going into the oral arguments was whether Chiles had been affected enough by the law to be able to challenge it, a legal technicality known as “standing.”Justice Sonia Sotomayor pointed out that Colorado officials have said Chiles’ description of her counseling doesn’t violate the ban.[...]And when Colorado state attorney Shannon Stevenson was questioned by the justices, she was asked about Chiles’ desire to help clients who want to “change their behaviors, expressions, attractions and identity.”Trying to change someone’s identity would violate the ban, Stevenson said.“That settles the standing question,” Sotomayor said.
It doesn't look good for us!
We have a lot of support not just from the medical community but from another USA Today article;
These celebrities spoke out on conversion therapyHollywood celebrities have long been outspoken about conversion therapy, a controversial approach that has triggered support and widespread backlash.From Bowen Yang to Miley Cyrus and a "Mean Girls" funnyman, here are some of the big names who have been open about their own experiences with conversion therapy.In 2020, actress and pop superstar Miley Cyrus said she stopped going to her church after her gay friends were sent to conversion therapy. "The reason why I left my church is that they weren’t being accepted," Cyrus reportedly told told beauty mogul Hailey Bieber. "They were being sent to conversion therapies.""Saturday Night Live" star and "Wicked" franchise actor Bowen Yang told People in 2021 he was sent to gay conversion therapy by his parents when he was a teenager. "There was a huge chasm of misunderstanding," Yang told the outlet. "Neither side really understood where the other was coming from, and it led to very dangerous situations overall."
And the list goes to four or five other celebrates.
Justice Amy Coney Barrett asked Colorado's lawyer for a summary of the alleged harm conversion therapy causes, sparking a dispute between lawyers for the state and Chiles.Stevenson, Colorado's solicitor general, said 100 years of research found no support for it. She cited a couple of recent studies, including one of 34,000 people who were 13 to 25 years old and who had gone through conversion therapy, which found twice the rate of suicide attempts.[...]“The state can show we’re regulating a treatment and we’re regulating consistent with the standard of care,” Stevenson said. “There is a confirmation, a security that the court can have that there is no other motive going on to suppress viewpoints or expression.”Barrett said there could be a dispute about treatment.
So... your guess is as good as mine but I'm leaning towards "not good" to "not very good at all"

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