So, you are planning on going to war against Iran… what is on Trump’s “To-Do List?” Why buy stock in oil companies? This is the headline for the Financial Times: “Traders placed $580mn in oil bets ahead of Donald Trump’s social media post on Iran talks.”
Before the tariffs… insider trading!
Before the war… insider trading!
Before the ceasefire… insider trading!
BBC News20 April 2026Nick MarshThroughout US President Donald Trump's second term in office, traders have been betting millions of dollars just before he makes major announcements.The BBC has examined trade volume data on several financial markets and matched them to some of the president's most significant market-moving statements.It found a consistent pattern of spikes just hours, or sometimes minutes, before a social media post or media interview was made public.Some analysts say it bears the hallmarks of illegal insider trading, whereby bets are made by people based on information that is not available to the general public.Others say the picture is more complicated and that some traders have become more adept at anticipating the president's interventions.
Among the dates they looked at are;
18:29 GMT: Oil bets surge19:16 GMT: Trump says war is nearly complete19:16–19:39 GMT: Oil drops by 14%The first time the public would have known about the interview was at 15:16 Eastern Time (19:16 GMT) when the reporter posted about it on X.Oil traders reacted to this news that the conflict could end much sooner than expected by selling oil, with the price plunging 14% in minutes. This added to an earlier fall, taking the overall drop from the highest point that day to 25%.However, market data shows a huge surge of bets were placed on the price of oil falling at 18:29 GMT - a full 47 minutes before the reporter's post.
Each time Trump says the war is on… oil prices surge.
Each time Trump says the war is off… oil prices plummet.
And there is a growing body of evidence that government insiders are buying stocks long and short before decisions are announced publicly. The article lists suspicious dates:
23 March 2026: 'Complete and total resolution to hostilities'9 April 2025: 'Liberation Day' pause3 Jan 2026: Maduro seized28 Feb 2026: Strikes on Iran
Now consider this: on one night last year, Trump fired over a dozen Inspectors General who oversaw many of the regulatory agencies.
The Daily RecordThe Washington Post News Service & SyndicateMarch 19, 2026Key takeaways:
- President Donald Trump fired inspectors general at 19 agencies during his second term’s early days.
- Cheryl Mason, a Trump appointee with a partisan background, is set to lead the Council of the Inspectors General on Integrity and Efficiency.
- Inspectors general offices lost 16.6% of their workforce from January 2025 to early 2026, exceeding overall government staffing cuts.
Inspectors general have long touted their independence from partisan politics, maintaining a strict firewall between themselves and the White House appointees whose activities they are supposed to check.But now, over a year into the new Trump administration, political figures and the White House have sought greater influence over government watchdogs than ever before, leading to concerns about the independence of the oversight community.After firing inspectors general at 19 agencies in an unprecedented purge in the early days of his second term, President Donald Trump has spent the past year nominating several new inspectors general with partisan backgrounds. Investigators, auditors and others were lost in widespread staffing cuts. And political appointees have increasingly gained new powers over the apparatus that is designed to independently operate in order to root out waste, fraud and abuse.
Suspicious?
Congress is starting to take notice!
Apr 08, 2026Today, Congressman Ritchie Torres (NY-15) wrote to the chairmen of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) demanding an immediate investigation into highly suspicious trading activity in oil and equity futures markets that occurred minutes before President Trump publicly announced a delay in military strikes against Iran.According to reporting by Reuters, traders placed over $500 million in crude oil futures bets approximately fifteen minutes before Trump’s March 22nd Truth Social post announcing a pause in planned strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure. Oil prices plummeted more than 10 percent following the announcement, generating enormous profits for whoever made those trades. The New Yorker further reported that the surge in trading volume at 6:49 a.m. EST was approximately nine times the average level for that time of day, with positions precisely anticipating both a drop in oil prices and a rise in equity markets.
Listen to this Congresswoman...
And this is what Rachel Maddow had to say about all of this!
The thing that gets me… is that Trump & Company think they can get away with this!
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